Current Price –CBS $58.45, ETM $11.20
Offer Price – $1.08 stock of ETM for $1 stock of CBS (subject to upper limit of 5.7466 ETM shares per share of CBS)
Upside – 8% or $470 for Odd Lot holders
Expiration date – November 16, 2017
First a short foreword. Quite a few of you have shared investment ideas with me, but only a part of them ended up on the site. This was either do to lack of time to investigate them thoroughly or due to my belief that upside was not worth the risk. So usually if I did not take the position, I did not share that idea with the rest of community. Which is a pity, because some of these ideas actually
Current Price – $10.51
Expected Payout – TBD
Upside – TBD (likely around 5%+)
Expiration Date – TBD
The BoD of MVC Capital approved tender offer to repurchase $25m of stock (approximately 11% of outstanding). Tender is expected to commence in November and the repurchase price has not been set yet. On top of that on the 31st of October shareholders will vote whether to adopt activist proposal to increase the return of cash to shareholders. If approved this will likely give a further boost to the
Current Price – $3.25
Acquisition Price – $4.00
Upside – 23%
Expiration Date – TBD
This is a microcap arbitrage opportunity that was suggested by one of the members (thank you Ivan). CEO is willing to take this failed SPAC private at 23% premium to current share price.
Current Price – $17.02
Offer Price – $17.25
Upside – 1.5% or $25 for odd lot holders
Expiration Date – 25th of October, 2017
GHL has launched tender for 40% of the outstanding stock. This is an opportunity to participate in the tender that is very likely to be under-subscribed and price might shot up if that turns out to be the case. More risk averse investors can pocket $25 risk free.
Current Price –$9.85
Expected Price - $12
Upside – 20%+
Expiration Date - June 2017
This is a two part special situation. The first one is a simple dutch tender with odd-lot provision. The second part comes from general undervaluation of the company where expected dividend (yet to be announced, but already communicated by management) could serve as a catalyst. At the same time the company is trading below contractually secured cashflows in the RC segment and has significant upside optionality from other business segments.
Current Price – $31.5
Expected Payout – $33.4
Upside – 5%
Expiration Date – 4th of October 2017
UTG is closed-end fund investing in utility sector. The fund issued transferable rights to subscribe to new common shares. For every three rights held, a holder of rights may buy one new common share of the Fund at 5% discount to 5 day average closing prices preceding the expiration date (October 4th). This created an arbitrage play whereby the buyers/holders of rights were shorting UTG common stock
Current Price – $12.75
Acquisition Price – $14
Upside – 10%
Expiration Date – Q4 2017
This is straight forward merger arbitrage opportunity in nanocap land. Liquidity is very low – thus limit orders and lots of patience are needed to accumulate the position. I consider current spread (10%) to be attractive as I see limited risks of this deal falling apart. Low liquidity is likely the main reason for the spread to exists.
Current Price – $0.21
Expected Payout – $0.17 – $0.35
Upside – 67% (at high end of the expected range)
Expiration Date – TBD
Essex Rental was a struggling and over-leveraged crane equipment rental company. Over the last year the company has liquidated/agreed to sell both of its operating divisions and shareholders approved plan of dissolution on the 5th of June. The proceeds for equity holders are expected to be in the range of $0.17 – $0.35 per share.
Current Price – $863
Offer Price – $825 – $875
Upside – $1200 (for odd lot holders if priced at the upper limit)
Expiration Date – 14th of September, 2017
This is a short note as situation is straight forward and most of the members already have familiarity with odd-lot tenders. I am mostly flagging this due to high potential upside in dollar terms (percentage wise it is only 1.3%). Risk/reward is unfavorable and I have no position at the moment.
Current Price – SEK 1070
Expected Price – SEK 1200
Upside – 12%
Expiration Date – Q3-Q4 2017
Ferronordic preferreds are very likely to be redeemed by the company at 12% premium to current market price. Recent communication by the company hints that this is likely to happen before the next dividend payment (Oct 2017). Preferreds trade in Stockholm and it is possible to buy then through IB.
Current Price – $1.26
Expected Buyout – $1.81
Upside – 44%
Expiration Date – expected in H1 2017
Prospect Japan Fund trades below its NAV and received a non-binding all-stock buyout offer from the related party. This offer values the fund at $2.15/share – equivalent to 70% upside. The merger is very likely to go through. The biggest risk is market price of the acquirers shares which affects not only the eventual payout (no possibilities to hedge) but also the NAV of PJF.
Current Price – $42.6
Offer Price – $38 – $45
Upside – 5.5% (if priced at the upper limit)
Expiration Date – 2nd of August, 2017
This tender offer seems to be a step towards Carl Icahn taking the company private. Icahn’s IEP already owns 72.5% of the outstanding shares and will have 80%-95% after the tender. Due to this reason I believe that tender pricing at the upper limit is very likely (thus low risk 5.5% upside). After the tender Icahn will
Current Price –$3.49
Offer Price - $4.6
Upside – 34%
Expiration Date - Q3 2017 (expected)
Destination Maternity is due to merge with french Orchestra Premaman (KAZI) and the spread is 34%. The main official rationale for the merger is revenue synergies as both companies are selling complimentary products in different geographies.
Current Price –$35.5
Offer Price - $38.5
Upside – 8%
Expiration Date - Q1 2018 (or earlier)
8% in a year might not sound overly attractive at first, but I consider this arbitrage opportunity to be close to risk free. The partnership will gradually distribute its only asset (which is ATH shares – large cap health insurer) to unitholders and then liquidate. AAA trades in Amsterdam and it is possible to purchase units using Interactive Brokers.