Do You Invest in Special Situations?
I focus on event-driven trades and low risk arbitrage opportunities with short term catalysts
Spread Widened Sharply after Recent Price Drop
Same buyout, second entry point.
Potential Takeover with 40% Upside
The optionality on a sale looks close to free, in a business that has been quietly compounding.
A Wide Spread on a Deal That Looks Solid
While the offer is still non-binding, several factors suggest that the spread might be too wide.
Odd-Lot Tender Offer
Easy spread, with minimal cancellation or amendment risk.
Pending Buyout by a Controlling Shareholder
When one share class prices in a buyout and the other doesn’t.
Market Overreaction
65% potential upside on a rebound.
Waldencast (WALD) — Large Asset Sale — 25%+ Upside
Current Price: $1.50
Target Price: $1.80-$1.90
Potential Upside: 25%
Expected Timeline: Q3 2026
Quick Pitch: Continental Aerospace Technologies (0232:HK)
Liquidation: 10%+ Upside (at HK$0.39)
Quick Pitch: Aumann (AAG:DE)
Odd-lot Tender Offer: €190 Upside (at €14.60/share)
A Wide Spread on a Merger the Major Holders Already Blessed
This is a straightforward arb with a wide spread and closing expected in three months.