Monthly Archives: June 2017



Tropicana Entertainment (TPCA) – Tender Offer – 5.5% expected upside

Current Price – $42.6

Offer Price – $38 – $45

Upside – 5.5% (if priced at the upper limit)

Expiration Date – 2nd of August, 2017

This tender offer seems to be a step towards Carl Icahn taking the company private. Icahn’s IEP already owns 72.5% of the outstanding shares and will have 80%-95% after the tender. Due to this reason I believe that tender pricing at the upper limit is very likely (thus low risk 5.5% upside). After the tender Icahn will

 

Qiwi PLC (QIWI) – Tender Offer – 13% upside

Current Price – $24.28

Acquisition Price – $28

Upside – 13%

Expiration Date –  TBD

Otkritie Holdings announced intention to commence tender offer to purchase additional 45%-55% of class B shares of QIWI at $28/share., which is 13% premium to the current price.



OCB Bancorp (OJCB) – Merger Arbitrage – 10% uspide

Current Price – $12.75

Acquisition Price – $14

Upside – 10%

Expiration Date –  Q4 2017

This is straight forward merger arbitrage opportunity in nanocap land. Liquidity is very low – thus limit orders and lots of patience are needed to accumulate the position. I consider current spread (10%) to be attractive as I see limited risks of this deal falling apart. Low liquidity is likely the main reason for the spread to exists.



Ferronordic (FNMA-PREF.ST) – Preferred Redemption – 12% upside

Current Price – SEK 1070

Expected Price – SEK 1200

Upside – 12%

Expiration Date – Q3-Q4 2017

Ferronordic  preferreds are very likely to be redeemed by the company at 12% premium to current market price. Recent communication by the company hints that this is likely to happen before the next dividend payment (Oct 2017). Preferreds trade in Stockholm and it is possible to buy then through IB.