Merger arbitrage: 18% upside (at $2.82/share)
Quick Pitch: Docebo (DCBO)
Odd-Lot Tender Offer: $140 upside (at $19.00)
Quick Pitch: Continental Aerospace Technologies (0232:HK)
Liquidation: 10%+ Upside (at HK$0.39)
Quick Pitch: Aumann (AAG:DE)
Odd-lot Tender Offer: €190 Upside (at €14.60/share)
Quick Pitch: Optimum Communications (OPTU)
Odd-lot tender offer: $140 upside (at $1.08/share)
Quick Pitch: Zinnwald Lithium (ZNWD:L)
Merger Arbitrage: 18% Upside (at 8.75p/share)
Quick Pitch: oOh!media Limited (OML:AX)
Bidding war: 30% Upside (at A$1.32-A$1.35)
Quick Pitch: Blackline Safety (BLN:TO)
Free CVR: upside TBD (at $8.88)
Quick Pitch: Assertio Holdings (ASRT)
CVR: upside TBD (at $18.01)
Quick Pitch: Enhabit (EHAB)
Higher offer: upside TBD (at $13.98)
Guest Pitch: Webjet Group (WJL:AX)
A bet on takeover talks resuming: 30%+ upside (at A$0.50)
Quick Pitch: Perfect (PERF)
Potential Buyout: 17.5% Upside (at $1.66)
Quick Pitch: Seer (SEER)
Activism: 35%+ Upside (at $1.83)
Quick Pitch: Tripadvisor (TRIP)
Activism / Strategic review: 70% upside (at $10.06)
Guest Pitch: All for One Group SE (A1OS.DE)
Odd-lot Tender Offer: €150 Upside
Quick Pitch: Enviri (NVRI)
Large Asset Sale: 60% upside (at $19.04)
Guest Pitch: uniQure (QURE)
FDA approval: 160% Upside (at $26.65)
Quick Pitch: Docebo (DCBO)
Odd-Lot Tender Offer: $80 upside (at $19.6)
Guest Pitch: Elme Communities (ELME)
Liquidation: 15% Upside (at $2.16)
Quick Pitch: ROK Resources (ROK:V)
Merger Arbitrage: 20%+ Upside (at C$0.20)
Quick Pitch: Lithium South Development Corporation (LIS:V)
Merger Arbitrage: 19% Upside (at C$0.425)
Guest Pitch: NCC Group (NCC:L)
Strategic Review and Sale Process – 20% Upside (at 144p)
Quick Pitch: Emeren Group (SOL)
Merger Arbitrage (at $1.73)
Quick Pitch: Thunderbird Entertainment (TBRD:V)
Merger Arbitrage: 18% Upside (at C$1.55)
Quick Pitch: Venus Metals Corporation (VMC:AX)
Expected Higher Offer: Upside TBD (at A$0.195)
Quick Pitch: Priority Technology (PRTH)
Management Buyout: 14%+ Upside (at $5.41)
Quick Pitch: AUB Group (AUB:AX)
Potential Buyout: 16% Upside (at A$38.73)
Guest Pitch: Generation Bio (GBIO)
Strategic review: 50% Upside (at $5.11)
Quick Pitch: Sotherly Hotels (SOHOO)
Merger Arbitrage: 12-14% Upside
Guest Pitch: Challenger Energy Group (CEG:L)
Merger Arbitrage (at 12.5p)
Quick Pitch: WonderFi Technologies (WNDR:TO)
Merger Arbitrage: 14% Upside (at C$0.315)
Guest Pitch: Falcon Oil & Gas (FO:V)
Merger Arbitrage: 30% Upside (at C$0.20)
Quick Pitch: Yext (YEXT)
Merger arbitrage: Upside TBD (at $8.40)
Quick Pitch: FONAR (FONR)
Merger arbitrage (at $15.22)
Quick Pitch: Chorus Aviation (CHR.TO)
Odd Lot Tender: C$45 upside (at C$22.55)
Quick Pitch: STAAR Surgical (STAA)
Expected Higher Offer (at $27.2)
Quick Pitch: Forian (FORA)
Expected Higher Offer (at $2.1)
Quick Pitch: TaskUs (TASK)
Expected Improved Offer
Quick Pitch: scPharmaceuticals (SCPH)
CVR: 5:1 risk/reward
Quick Pitch: Apiam Animal Health (AHX:AX)
Merger Arbitrage (covered at A$0.795)
Quick Pitch: Plymouth Industrial REIT (PLYM)
Merger Arbitrage (at $21.30)
Guest Pitch: Empresaria Group (EMR:L)
Merger Arbitrage: 48% Upside (at 42p)
Quick Pitch: Smart Share Global (EM)
Merger Arbitrage: 32% Upside (at $1.3)
Guest Pitch: ProAssurance (PRA)
Merger break: 35% potential return (at $23.8)
Quick Pitch: PMV Pharmaceuticals (PMVP)
Biopharma net-net — 40%+ Upside (at A$1.27)
Guest Pitch: Next Science (NXS.AX)
Large Capital Return (at A$0.14)
Quick Pitch: Banxa (BNXA:V)
Merger Arb: 23% Upside (at C$1.26)
Guest Pitch: Nanoco Group (NANO.L)
Potential Buyout: 50% upside (at 9.7p)
Guest Pitch: Real Estate Investors (RLE:L)
Liquidation: 35%-50% Upside (at £0.32/share)
Quick Pitch: Columbus Circle Capital Corp I (CCCM)
SPACs in the crypto space with a high chance of spiking upward
Quick Pitch: ProCap Acquisition (PCAPU)
SPACs in the crypto space with a high chance of spiking upward
Quick Pitch: M3-Brigade Acquisition V (MBAV)
SPACs in the crypto space with a high chance of spiking upward
Quick Pitch: Berto Acquisition (TACO)
SPACs in the crypto space with a high chance of spiking upward
Quick Pitch: Jupiter Mines (JMS:AX)
Potential Takeover: 60% Upside (at A$0.20/share)
Guest Pitch: Webjet Group (WJL:AX)
Potential Takeover — 30% Upside (at A$0.90/share)
Quick Pitch: Naturgy Energy Group (NTGY:MC)
Odd-lot Tender Offer — €200+ Upside (€26/share)
Guest Pitch: Assura (AGR:L)
Expected higher offer — Upside TBD (at £0.495/share)
Quick Pitch: Air Canada (AC:TO)
Tender Offer (Odd-Lot) — Free Option
Quick Pitch: Elevation Oncology (ELEV)
Potential Liquidation or Sale — 60% Upside (at $0.28/share)
Quick Pitch: Mayne Pharma (MYX:AX)
Merger Arbitrage (covered at A$6.48/share)
Guest Pitch: SmartPay Holdings (SMP:AX)
Potential Buyout (covered at A$0.92/share)
Guest Pitch: Star Holdings (STHO)
Liquidation — 50%+ Upside (at $6.45/share)
Quick Pitch: Kronos Bio (KRON)
CVR play (at $0.714)
Quick Pitch: Theratechnologies (THTX)
Potential Takeover — 75%+ Upside (at $2.57/share)
Quick Pitch: Naturgy Energy Group (NTGY:MC)
Tender Offer With ‘Odd-Lot’ Type Priority — €500+ Upside
Quick Pitch: LENSAR (LNSR)
Buyout With a CVR: 23% Upside (at $13.63/share)
Quick Pitch: NIOX Group (NIOX:L)
Merger Arb — 9% upside (at 74.2p/share)
Guest Pitch: NZME Limited (NZM:AX)
SOTP value unlock — 35%+ upside (at A$1.1/share)
Guest Pitch: SAGA Pure (SAGA:OL)
Mandatory Bid/Privatization (at 1.31 NOK/share)
Quick Pitch: Checkpoint Therapeutics (CKPT)
Free CVR (at $3.99)
Quick Pitch: OneConnect Financial Technology (OCFT)
Chinese Privatization — 22% Upside (at $6.5)
Quick Pitch: WEX Inc. (WEX)
Tender Offer +$1900 potential upside
Quick Pitch: Acelyrin (SLRN)
Merger Arbitrage (covered at $2.66)
Quick Pitch: Abrdn Diversified Income And Growth (ADIG:L)
Liquidation (covered at £0.47)
Quick Pitch: Nathan’s Famous (NATH)
Potential sale: 45% Upside (at $102)
Guest Pitch: Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR)
Cheap shot at a blockbuster drug (at $0.73)
Quick Pitch: Paragon 28 (FNA)
Free CVR (at $13.01)
Quick Pitch: Allakos (ALLK)
Strategic review / NOL shell: Upside TBD
Guest Pitch: Copper Property CTL Trust (CPPTL)
Liquidation – 30%+ Upside (at $12.8/share)
Quick Pitch: Smart Share Global (EM)
Privatization: 20% Upside (at $1.00/share)
Quick Pitch: Revance Therapeutics (RVNC)
Merger Arb / Potential Bidding War: 11%+ Upside (at $3.27)
Quick Pitch: Destination XL Group (DXLG)
Merger Arb / Higher Offer: 15%-40% Upside (at $2.62)
Quick Pitch: Luna Innovations (LUNA)
Delisting / Potential sale – Multibagger Upside
Quick Pitch: D-Market Electronic Services & Trading (HEPS)
Mandatory buyout offer – 45% Upside
Quick Pitch: Aker Carbon Capture (ACC:OL)
Large Capital Return – 30%+ Upside (at NOK 5.93/share)
Quick Pitch: Direct Line (DLG:L)
Merger Arb – 9.5% Upside
Quick Pitch: Renewi (RWI:L)
Merger Arb – 9% Upside
Quick Pitch: National World (NWOR:L)
Merger Arb – 9.5% Upside
Quick Pitch: Equity Commonwealth (EQC)
Liquidation – 40%-60% Upside (on the stub)
Guest Pitch: Galaxy Gaming (GLXZ)
Merger Arb: 15% Upside
Quick Pitch: Essa Pharma (EPIX)
Strategic review of a busted biopharma – 30% Upside
Quick Pitch: HilleVax (HLVX)
Strategic review (busted biopharma) – 80% Upside
Ideas Elsewhere: ParkerVision (PRKR)
Patent Litigation – Multibagger Upside
Guest Pitch: Learning Technologies Group (LTG:L)
Merger Arbitrage – 12% Upside
Guest Pitch: TI Fluid Systems (TIFS:L)
Merger Arbitrage – 13.5% Upside
Quick Pitch: TTEC Holdings (TTEC) – Why I’m Not Involved
Merger Arbitrage – 27% Upside
Guest Pitch: Embracer Group (EMBRAC-B:ST)
Spin-offs / HoldCo Discount Elimination – 25%+ Upside
Quick Pitch: Fentura Financial (FETM)
Community bank merger – 9-10% Upside
Quick Pitch: Bel Fuse (BELFB)
Share Class Arb – 28% Upside
Quick Pitch: Northway Financial (NWYF)
Bancorp merger – 8-10% Upside
Guest Pitch: Gold Reserve (GDRZF)
Litigation: 130% Upside
Guest Pitch: Ecofin U.S. Renewables Infrastructure Trust (RNEW:L)
Liquidation: 80% Upside
Quick Pitch: Equals Group (EQLS:L)
Merger Arbitrage – 15% Upside
Guest Pitch: WideOpenWest (WOW)
Expected higher offer – 50%+ Upside
Quick Pitch: Frontera Energy (FEC:TO)
Odd-Lot Tender Offer – C$410 Upside
Guest Pitch: Pact Group (PGH:AX)
Expected privatization – 30% Upside
Guest Pitch: ARC Document Solutions (ARC) – 10% upside
Expected privatization – 10% upside
Merger Arbs With Wide Spreads (Aug 2024)
With another quarter in the books, I am refreshing SSI review of all merger arbs with wide spreads.
Guest Pitch: Finch Therapeutics Group (FNCH)
Litigation: Multibagger Upside
Ideas Elsewhere: R1 RCM (RCM)
Bidding war – 20%+ Upside
Ideas Elsewhere: Designer Brands (DBI)
Post Forced-Selling Recovery – 30%+ upside
Guest Pitch: Grifols (GRFS)
Share Class Arb With A Catalyst – 21% Upside
Guest Pitch: Samsonite (1910:HK)
Uplisting to US: 90% Upside
Quick Pitch: Osino Resources (OSI:V)
Merger Arbitrage – 9% Upside
Quick Pitch: Aerovate Therapeutics (AVTE)
Potential Reverse Merger/Liquidation – 50%+ Upside
Quick Pitch: Sila Realty Trust (SILA)
Odd-Lot Tender Offer – $87 Upside
Quick Pitch: MIND Technology (MINDP)
Preferred Stock Conversion – 29% Upside
Quick Pitch: CI Financial (CIX:TO)
Odd-Lot Tender Offer – C$155 Upside
Ideas Elsewhere: WideOpenWest (WOW)
Expected higher offer – 90%+ upside
Guest Pitch: SAES Getters (SG:MI)
Potential Higher Offer – 10-20% Upside
Quick Pitch: Coveo Solutions (CVO:TO)
Tender offer with odd-lot provision
+21% upside (at the upper limit)
Quick Pitch: Martin Midstream Partners (MMLP)
MLP Buyout – 10%-20% Upside
Quick Pitch: Talen Energy (TLNE)
Odd-Lot Tender Offer – $770+ Upside
Quick Pitch: Matterport (MTTR)
Merger Arbitrage: 25% Upside
Quick Pitch: ContextLogic (LOGC)
Reverse Merger & Large NOL Assets
Ideas Elsewhere: Strata Investment (SRT:AX)
Large asset sale
Guest Pitch: Base Resources (BSE:AX)
Merger Arbitrage – 11%-20% Upside
Quick Pitch: Monster Beverage (MNST)
Odd-Lot Tender Offer – $680 Upside (at the upper limit)
Quick Pitch: Secure Energy Services (SES:TO)
Tender offer with odd lot provision.
Guest Pitch: IMAX China (1970: HK)
Expected privatization: 30-50% upside
Ideas Elsewhere: Target Hospitality (TH)
Potential Higher Offer
Ideas Elsewhere: Enhabit (EHAB)
Activist Campaign
Quick Pitch: Merrimack Pharmaceuticals (MACK)
Liquidation (actionable only today)
Quick Pitch: Asensus Surgical (ASXC)
Merger Arbitrage – 40% Upside
Guest Pitch: CVR Partners (UAN)
MLP Privatization / Tender Offer – 45% Upside
Quick Pitch: Task Group (TSK:AX)
Merger Arbitrage – 12% Upside
Ideas Elsewhere: Sun Corporation (6736:T)
Large discount to NAV
Quick Pitch: Altreca (BCEL)
Contingent value rights – Multi-bagger Upside
Quick Pitch: Ashford (AINC)
Odd Lot Arbitrage – $1500-$2000 Upside (risky)
Quick Pitch: James River Group (JRVR)
Strategic review – 35%+ Upside
Merger Arbs With Wide Spreads (Apr 2024)
With another quarter in the books, I am refreshing SSI review of all merger arbs with wide spreads.
Quick Pitch: M1 Kliniken (M12:DE)
Large Asset Sale
Ideas Elsewhere: MariaDB (MRDB)
Potential Bidding War
Guest Pitch: Sierra Rutile Holdings (SRX:AX)
Potential Bidding War – 45% Upside
Guest Pitch: Hipgnosis Songs Fund (SONG:L)
Potential Takeover – 40% Upside
Ideas Elsewhere: Yangzijiang Financial Holding (YF8:SI)
Discount To NAV
Ideas Elsewhere: Samsonite International (1910:HK)
Potential Takeover
Quick Pitch: Alumina (AWC:AX)
Merger Arbitrage – 10% Upside
Guest Pitch: Indiana Resources (IDA:AX)
Arbitration Award – 95% Upside
Quick Pitch: IntelliCentrics Global Holdings (6819:HK)
Special dividend/liquidation – 12%+ Upside
Ideas Elsewhere: Global Fashion Group (GFG:DE)
Turnaround – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: LianBio (LIAN)
Special Dividend + Potential Asset Sales
Quick Pitch: Vaso (VASO)
Uplisting: 33%-100%+ Upside
Quick Pitch: Guardion Health Sciences (GHSI)
Large Asset Sale & Potential Large Capital Return
Ideas Elsewhere: Net Lease Office Properties (NLOP)
Liquidation – 52% Upside
Quick Pitch: OCI N.V. (OCI:AS)
Large Asset Sale/Potential Capital Return – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: Battalion Oil (BATL) – Why I’m Not Involved
Merger Arbitrage – 43% Spread (Too Risky)
Quick Pitch: Aclaris Therapeutics (ACRS)
Strategic review & potential activism – 42% Upside
Ideas Elsewhere: Latitude Uranium (LUR:CN) / 92 Energy (92E:AX)
Three-way merger arbitrage
Ideas Elsewhere: Peugeot Invest Société (PEUG:PA)
Discount To NAV Mean Reversion
Ideas Elsewhere: Carnarvon Energy (CVN:AX)
Potential Asset/Company Sale
Ideas Elsewhere: Clasquin (ALCLA:PA)
Merger Arbitrage – 12% Upside
Ideas Elsewhere: AlloVir (ALVR)
Strategic Review
Quick Pitch: T&K Toka (4636:T)
Higher Offer / Bidding War – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: CPMC Holdings (0906:HK)
Potential Bidding War – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: Odyssey Marine Exploration (OMEX)
Upcoming Litigation Award
Guest Pitch: Midwest Energy Emissions (MEEC)
Patent Litigation
Quick Pitch: Avation (AVAP:L)
Activist Campaign / Company Sale
Quick Pitch: Perpetual (PPT:AX)
Potential Higher Offer / Bidding War
Ideas Elsewhere: Kinnate Biopharma (KNTE)
Potential Company Sale – 20% Upside
Quick Pitch: OreCorp (ORR:AX)
Merger Arbitrage/Potential Bidding War – 20%+ Upside
Quick Pitch: POINT Biopharma Global (PNT)
Potential Higher Offer – TBD Upside
Quick Pitch: iClick Interactive Asia Group (ICLK)
Chinese Privatization – 8.5% Upside
Guest Pitch: Telephone and Data Systems (TDS-PV)
Preferred Stock Re-Rating / Redemption, 40%+ Upside
Quick Pitch: Best Inc (BEST)
Chinese Privatization – 19% Upside
Quick Pitch: Docebo (DCBO)
Odd Lot Tender Offer – $1000 Upside
Quick Pitch: BV Financial (BVFL)
Recent Demutualization – 30% Upside
Quick Pitch: MRC Global (MRC)
Potential Company Sale – 30%+ Upside
Quick Pitch: Talis Biomedical (TLIS)
Strategic Review – TBD Upside
Ideas Elsewhere: Theseus Pharmaceuticals (THRX)
Strategic Review – 14%+ Upside
Quick Pitch: Imperial Oil Limited (IMO.TO)
Odd Lot Tender Offer – C$350 Upside
Merger Arbs With Wide Spreads (Nov 2023)
This is a fresh review of the current merger arbitrage opportunities with wide spreads.
Quick Pitch: Almacenes Exito (EXTO)
Merger Arbitrage + Higher Bid – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: First Trust MLP and Energy Income Fund (FEI)
ETF Conversion – 10% Upside
Ideas Elsewhere: Webcentral (WCG:AX)
Large Asset Sale – 48% Upside
Quick Pitch: Pacific Current Group (PAC:AX)
Potential Buyout – 20% Questionable Upside
Quick Pitch: Genetron Holdings (GTH)
Chinese Privatisation – 13% Upside
Quick Pitch: Neighbourly Pharmacy (NBLY:TO)
Merger Arbitrage
Quick Pitch: Micron Solutions (MICR)
Reverse Stock Split (too risky)
Quick Pitch: Nordic Waterproofing (NWG:ST)
Potential Higher Offer – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: Applied Molecular Transport (AMTI)
Merger Arbitrage – 40% Upside
Ideas Elsewhere: Brødrene Hartmann (HART:CO)
Expected Higher Offer
Ideas Elsewhere: AerSale Corporation (ASLE)
Potential Inflection Play
Quick Pitch: Pact Group (PGH:AX)
Potential Higher Offer – TBD Upside
Ideas Elsewhere: Graphite Bio (GRPH)
Strategic Review and Potential Liquidation
Ideas Elsewhere: Otto Energy (OEL:AX)
Expected Company Sale
Ideas Elsewhere: CKX Lands (CKX)
Strategic Review
Ideas Elsewhere: Yellow Corporation (YELLQ)
Equity Recovery in Bankruptcy
Ideas Elsewhere: Logistec (LGT-B:TO)
Potential Takeover
Ideas Elsewhere: SharkNinja (SN)
Forced Sell-Off / Spin-Off
Quick Pitch: Safeguard Scientifics (SFE)
Liquidation – 38%+ Upside
Quick Pitch: Costa Group Holdings (CGC:AX)
Merger Arbitrage – 20% Upside
Quick Pitch: Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI)
Expected Management Privatization – 37% Upside
Quick Pitch: Direct Digital Holdings (DRCTW)
Warrants Cashout – 12% Upside
Quick Pitch: Zynerba Pharmaceuticals (ZYNE)
Merger Arbitrage + CVR – Multibagger Upside
Quick Pitch: SoftwareONE (SWON:SW)
Potential Higher Offer – 19%-25% Upside
Quick Pitch: L’Occitane International (0973-HK)
Potential Privatization – 30% Upside
Ideas Elsewhere: Horizon Therapeutics (HZNP)
Merger Arbitrage
Ideas Elsewhere: Winshear Gold (WINS-V)
Litigation
Quick Pitch: Kindred Group (KIND-DB.ST)
Potential Company Sale – 20%+ Upside
Quick Pitch: Heritage-Crystal Clean (HCCI)
Heritage-Crystal Clean (HCCI) – Potential Higher Offer – TBD Upside
Quick Pitch: Ming Fai International (3828.HK)
China’s Travel Sector Recovery – 30%+ Upside
Ideas Elsewhere: Pacific Current (PAC:AX)
Potential Buyout – 10%+ Upside
Ideas Elsewhere: AVROBIO (AVRO)
Strategic Review/Potential Liquidation – 14%+ Upside
Quick Pitch: STM Group (STM.L)
Potential Buyout – 30%-40% Upside
Quick Pitch: TriNet Group (TNET)
Odd-Lot Tender Offer – $270 Upside
Quick Pitch: Startek (SRT)
Potential Buyout – 20% Upside
Quick Pitch: Consolidated Communications Holdings (CNSL)
Merger Arbitrage – Upside TBD
Merger Arbs With Wide Spreads (July 2023)
With another quarter in the books, I am refreshing my review of merger arbs with wide spreads.
Quick Pitch: Carriage Services (CSV)
Potential Buyout – 36%-67% Upside
Quick Pitch: Sigilon Therapeutics (SGTX)
Merger Arbitrage With CVR
Ideas Elsewhere: Cyteir Therapeutics (CYT)
Liquidation
Ideas Elsewhere: Graphite Bio (GRPH)
Strategic Review
Quick Pitch: Peak Bancorp (IDFB)
Merger Arbitrage – 28% Upside
Quick Pitch: Astrotech (ASTC)
Merger Arbitrage, 20%+ Upside
Quick Pitch: Enhabit (EHAB)
Activist Campaign/Potential Company Sale – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: LL Flooring Holdings (LL)
Activism/Potential Buyout – 31% Upside
Quick Pitch: Paratek Pharmaceuticals (PRTK)
Merger Arbitrage + CVR – 36% Upside
Quick Pitch: MediaAlpha (MAX)
Potential Inflection Play – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: Dye & Durham (DND.TO)
Odd Lot Tender Offer – C$100 Upside
Quick Pitch: Aptinyx (APTX)
Liquidation – 25% Upside
Quick Pitch: VEON (VEON)
Activist Pressure – TBD Upside
Quick Pitch: Spectrum Pharmaceuticals (SPPI)
Merger Arbitrage + CVR – 20% Upside
Quick Pitch: Lifecore Biomedical (LFCR)
Expected Company Sale – Multibagger Upside
Quick Pitch: Holly Energy Partners (HEP)
MLP Buyout – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: Green Plains Partners (GPP)
MLP Buyout – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: MEI Pharma (MEIP)
Potential liquidation – 29% Upside
Quick Pitch: US Masters Residential Property Fund (URF.AX)
Liquidation – 40%+ Upside
Quick Pitch: Charah Solutions (CHRA)
Merger Arbitrage – 8% Upside
Quick Pitch: Ebix Inc (EBIX)
Spin-Off – Upside TBD (very risky)
Quick Pitch: Westwood Holdings Group (WHG)
Potential Buyout/Activist Campaign – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: Creative Realities (CREX)
Potential Takeover – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: SiriusPoint (SPNT)
Potential Takeover – 15%-20% Upside
Quick Pitch: ALJ Regional Holdings (ALJJ)
Merger Arbitrage – 5% Upside
Quick Pitch: Guardian Capital Group (GCG-A.TO)
Asset Sale/Potential Large Capital Return – 28% Upside
Quick Pitch: Liminal BioSciences (LMNL)
Merger Arbitrage – 11% Upside
Quick Pitch: Delek US (DK)
Unlock of SOTP Value: 100% Upside
Quick Pitch: Liontown Resources (LTR.AX)
Potential Higher Offer – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: Pardes Biosciences (PRDS)
Strategic Review – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: Estia Health (EHE.AX)
Potential Takeover – 13%+ Upside
Merger Arbs With Wide Spreads (April 2023)
This is a fresh review of ongoing merger arbitrage cases.
Quick Pitch: dentalcorp Holdings (DNTL.TO)
Potential Buyout – 25% Upside
Quick Pitch: Embark Technology (EMBK)
Strategic Review – 50% Upside
Quick Pitch: Quince Therapeutics (QNCX)
Takeover Atempt – 17%+ Upside
Quick Pitch: Chembio Diagnostics (CEMI)
Merger Arbitrage – 13% Upside
Quick Pitch: First Horizon Corporation (FHN)
Merger Arbitrage – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: Luther Burbank Corp (LBC)
Merger Arbitrage – 7% Upside
Quick Pitch: Canaccord Genuity (CF.TO)
Management Takeover – 7% Upside
Quick Pitch: Ibersol (IBS.LS)
Expected Large Capital Return – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: Magnet Forensics (MAGT.TO)
Expected Higher Offer – TBD Upside
Quick Pitch: Afya Limited (AFYA)
Potential Privatization – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: Creative Realities (CREX)
Merger Arbitrage – 20% Spread
Quick Pitch: Millicom International (TIGO)
Potential Bidding War – Upside TBD
Quick Pitch: Regional Health Properties (RHE-PA)
Preferred Stock Exchange – 100% Upside
SSI Weekly – Quick Pitches For SIOX, CTLT, OTIC
SIOX – Liquidation – 21% upside
CTLT – Rumored Takeover – Upside TBD
OTIC – Liquidation – 18% Upside
SSI Weekly – Quick Pitch For MGTA
MGTA – Strategic Review – Upside TBD
Quick Pitches For TBRD.V, FNCH, TYR.AX
TBRD.V – Strategic Review – 33% Upside
FNCH – Strategic Review – Upside TBD
TYR.AX – Expected Higher Bid – 15% Upside
Quick Pitches For BATRA, CNCE, ELSE
BATRA – Split-Off/Potential Takeover – 41% Upside
CNCE – CVR – Multibagger Upside on CVR
ELSE – Merger Arbitrage – 27%+ Upside
Merger Arb With Wide Spreads (26th of Jan)
I am refreshing SSI review of all merger arbs with wide spreads.
Quick Pitches For OABI, ALBO, AMYT, CF.TO
OABI – Forced Selling After Spin-Off – 140% Upside
ALBO – CVR – 5x Upside
AMYT – CVR – Multibagger Upside
CF.TO – Expected Buyout Price Increase – 8% Upside
PhaseBio Pharmaceuticals (PHASQ) – Emergence From Bankruptcy – Mutibagger Upside
Current Price: $0.017
Target Price: $0.15+
Upside: multibagger
Expiration Date: H1 2023
Quick Pitches For SQZ.L, WWE, AAMC
SQZ.L – Activist Campaign – 40% Upside
WWE – Expected Buyout – Upside TBD
AAMC – Buyback Incentive – Upside TBD
Quick Pitches For RFP, CBIO, ISO
RFP – CVR – 250% Upside
CBIO – Liquidation – 22% Upside
ISO – Merger Arbitrage – 6% Upside
Quick Pitches For SIOX, OIIM
SIOX – Liquidation – 25%+ Upside
OIIM – Chinese Privatisation – 10% Upside
Quick Pitches For SGA, DNTL.TO, CBIO
SGA – Potential Company Sale – 25%+ Upside
DNTL.TO – Potential Buyout – Upside TBD
CBIO – Liquidation – 29% Upside
Quick Pitches For BBXIA, SPNE, UNVR, AAV.TO
BBXIA – Price Pullback Post Tender Offer – 8% Upside
SPNE – Merger Arbitrage – 21% Upside
UNVR – Potential Buyout – 31% Upside
Quick Pitches For TRQ, TBRD.V, SCU
TRQ.TO – Merger Arbitrage and Appraisal Rights
TBRD.V – Activist Campaign/Potential Sale
SCU – Strategic Review/Potential Sale – Upside TBD
Quick Pitches For GSMG, LMN.SW, SO.PA
GSMG – Chinese Take-Private
LMN.SW – Activist Campaign/Potential Sale
SO.PA – Expected Tender Price Increase
Quick Pitches For CCRD, OYST, WGO.AX and 3 Tenders
CCRD – Potential Buyout
OYST – Merger Arb & CVR
WGO.AX – Potential Bidding War
ACQ.TO – Tender Offer
Quick Pitches For AIMC, 0273.HK, IMO.TO
AIMC – Merger Arbitrage – 9% Upside
0273.HK – Merger Arbitrage – 20%+ Upside
IMO.TO – Odd-Lot Tender Offer – $1100 Upside
Quick Pitches For AKUS, LMST, NTO.AX, SCHL
AKUS – Merger Arbitrage & CVR – Upside TBD
LMST – Merger Arbitrage – 5% Upside
NTO.AX – Potential Bidding War- Upside TBD
SCHL – Odd Lot Tender Offer – $260 Upside
Quick Pitches For GNX.AX, SIOX, SOT-UN, TBPH
GNX.AX – Merger Arbitrage – 25% Upside
SIOX – Strategic Review – 50% Discount To Net Cash
SOT-UN.TO – Strategic Review/Activist Campaign – Upside TBD
TBPH – Odd Lot Tender Offer – $75 Upside
SSI Weekly – Quick Pitches For PMCB, GFF
PMCB – Strategic Review/Activist Pressure – 37% Upside
GFF – Strategic review – Upside TBD
Quick Pitches For B, DXC, AGF-B
B – Merger Arbitrage – 90%+ Upside
DXC – Potential Takeover – 64% Upside
AGF-B.TO – Odd Lot Tender Offer – C$75 Upside
Quick Pitches For ZVO, CANO and XX.V
ZVO – Liquidation – 200% Upside
CANO – Potential Takeover – 58% Upside
XX.V – Potential Takeover – 60%+ Upside
Quick Pitches For OIIM, KNBE, CCHWF, ATCO, LSF, MN
OIIM – Chinese Privatisation – 25% Upside
KNBE – Merger Arbitrage – 15% Upside
LSF – Merger Arbitrage – 67% Upside
MN – Merger Arbitrage – 5% Upside
Quick Pitches For VNET, SGA, PRPL, and DR.TO
VNET – Merger Arbitrage – 36% Upside
SGA – Potential Takeover – 22% Upside
PRPL – Non-Binding Takeover Interest – 11% Upside
Merger Arbs With Wide Spreads (21st of Sep)
We are refreshing our review of all merger arbs with wide spreads. This is a continuation of the analysis from two months ago. Some of these have already been highlighted or posted on SSI. The spreads on average are not as wide as during the market rout at the beginning of July, but still, there are some potentially attractive opportunities.
Pitches For BOCH.L, TNA.V, DMS, ADT and VLNS
DMS – Privatization By Management – 20% Upside
BOCH.L – Merger Arbitrage – 15%+ Upside
VLNS – Merger Arbitrage – 8% Upside
TNA.V – Merger Arbitrage – 6.5% Upside
Pitches For SWKH, APE and IMRA
APE – Share Class Arbitrage – 69% Upside
IMRA – Strategic Review – 58% Upside
SWKH – Potential Takeover – 24% Upside
Pitch For FBRX
FBRX – Multiple Activist Campaigns – 30% Upside
Pitches for ATCO, AGS, LOTZ, OZL.AX, IS, LMPX
AGS – Merger Arbitrage/Potential Higher Offer – 21%+ Upside
ATCO – Expected Higher Bid – 16% Upside
IS – Merger Arbitrage – 27% Upside
LOTZ – Merger Arbitrage – 40% Upside
SSI Weekly – Pitches for ALX, TTNP, IFM.AX
ALX – Activist Campaign – 50% Upside
TTNP – Reverse Merger/Activism – TBD Upside
IFM.AX – Merger Arbitrage/Bidding War – 9%+ Upside
Pitches for KINS, KLTR, ANGN, HSBI, PIXY
KINS – Potential Sale / Activist Pressure – 30%+ Upside
KLTR – Merger Arbitrage – 16%+ Upside
ANGN – Net-Net / Strategic Review – 34% Upside
HSBI – Merger Arbitrage – 5% Upside
Pitches for URF.AX, IMRA, RPID, CRNT, CTEK, VIVO
URF.AX – Liquidation – 100% Upside
IMRA – Strategic Review – 100% Upside
RPID – Merger Arbitrage – 9%+ Upside
RAP.AX – Merger Arbitrage – 27% Upside
Pitches for RDUS, MITO, CBIO, NXDT, WOW, RNWK
RDUS – Merger Arbitrage With CVR – 12x Upside
NXDT – REIT Conversion – 40%-50% Upside
CBIO – Expected Liquidation – 16% Upside
MITO – Going Private – 7%+ Upside
Pitches for RFP, RBCN, BHVN, FEC.TO, GSMG
RBCN – Cash Shell with a Tender Offer – 18x Upside
RFP – Merger Arbitrage with CVR – 32% Upside
FEC.TO – Odd Lot Tender Offer – 18% Upside
GSMG – Chinese Take-Private – 15% Upside
Pitches for HMTV, USWS, WOW, UEX.TO, TGR.AX, EVO.AX
EVO.AX – Activist Campaign/Company Sale – 100% Upside
USWS – Merger Arbitrage – 10% Upside
WOW – Rumored Sale – TBD Upside
UEX.TO – Merger Arbitrage – 6% Upside
24 Merger Arbs With Wide Spreads
Merger arb spreads are wide and there is a high number of opportunities now present in the straight-forward merger arbitrage space. Some of these have already been highlighted or posted on SSI. But to get a better picture, we have reviewed all US M&A deals with spreads of 10%+ (or close to it).
Pitches for TGR.AX, 0709.HK, ACQ.TO, EPZM
TGR.AX – Potential Higher Offer – TBD Upside
0709.HK – Take Private Atempt – TBD Upside
ACQ.TO – Tender Offer – TBD Upside
EPZM – Pharma CVR – 66% Upside
Metromile (MILE) – Merger Arbitrage – 13% Upside
Current Price: $0.91
Offer Price: $1.03
Upside: 13%
Expected Closing Date: Early Q3 2022
SSI Weekly – Pitches for RAP.AX, CCHWF, LAIXY, POEFF, ASTL, GDNSF
RAP.AX – Merger Arbitrage – 17% Upside
CCHWF – Merger Arbitrage – 13% Upside
LAIXY – Chinese Take-Private – 11% Upside
POEFF – Merger Arbitrage + Spin-off – 6%+ Upside
Shell Midstream Partners (SHLX) – Expected Higher Offer – Upside TBD
Current Price: $13.80
Offer Price: $12.89 (likely to be increased)
Upside: exp. up to 10%
Timeline: 2-3 months
SSI Weekly – Pitches for WEN, HMTV, HLG, FCIT, BIFF.L, PMD
WEN – Takeover Interest – 40% Upside
HMTV – Merger Arbitrage – 6%+ Upside
HLG – Chinese Take-Private – 11% Upside
FCIT – Merger Arbitrage – 9% Upside
Tufin Software Technologies (TUFN) – Merger Arbitrage – 10% Upside
Current Price: $11.73
Offer Price: $13.00
Upside: 10%
Expiration Date: July 2022
Starcore International Mines (SAM.TO) – Merger Arbitrage – 34% Upside
Current Price: C$0.25
Offer Price: C$0.35
Upside: 34%
Expiration Date: TBD
Oklo Resources (OKU.AX) – Merger Arbitrage – 14% Upside
Current Price: A$0.145
Offer Price: A$0.166
Upside: 14%
Expected Closing: Q3 2022
SSI Weekly – Pitches for OMEX, PIRI.L, KTTA, ABIO, TYME, BKGM, BUKS, RADI
OMEX – Litigation – 10x-30x Upside
PIRI.L – Merger Arbitrage – 22% Upside
KTTA – Activist Campaign – 88% Upside
ABIO – Activist Campaign – 35% Upside
Quick Pitch: Dolphin Capital Investors (DCI.L)
Dolphin Capital Investors (DCI.L) – Liquidation – 90%+ Upside
Turtle Beach (HEAR) – Potential Company Sale – 40% Upside
Current Price: $17.87
Target Price: $25+
Upside: 40+%
Expiration Date: 4 months
Genesis Metals (GIS.V) – Merger Arbitrage – 26% Upside
Current Price: C$0.145
Offer Price: C$0.18
Upside: 26%
Expected Closing Date: July 2022
Big River Gold (BRV.AX) – Merger Arbitrage – 9% Upside
Current Price: A$0.33
Offer Price: A$0.36
Upside: 9%
Expected Closing: 1st of August’22
BlueCity (BLCT) – Going Private – 20%+ Upside
Current Price: $1.28
Offer Price: $1.55 (adj. by the ADS fee)
Upside: 20%+
Expected Closing Date: H2 2022
Marrone Bio Innovations (MBII) – Merger Arbitrage – 16% Upside
Current Price: $0.99
Offer Price: $1.15
Upside: 16%
Expiration Date: Q3 2022
Hilltop Holdings (HTH) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – $325 Upside
Current Price: $28.71
Offer Price: $28-$32
Upside: $325 (for odd-lot positions at the upper price limit)
Expiration Date: 27th of May
Imperial Oil Limited (IMO.TO) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – Risk Free Upside
Current Price: C$61.88
Offer Price: C$62-C$78
Upside: C$12-C$1600 (for odd-lot positions)
Expiration Date: 10th of June
Cumulus Media (CMLS) – Merger Arbitrage – Upside TBD
Current Price: $14.70
Offer Price: $15-$17 (with potential to be increased)
Upside: TBD
Expiration Date: Q2 2022
Ardent Leisure Group (ALG.AX) – Large Asset Sale/Capital Return – Upside TBD
Current Price: A$1.35
Target Price: TBD
Upside: TBD
Expiration Date: 2022-2023
Regional Health Properties (RHE-PA) – Preferred Stock Exchange – 100%+ Upside
Current Price: $4.3
Redemption Price: $10.0 (incremental increases through 2025)
Upside: 100%+
Expiration Date: 2025
River & Mercantile Group (RIV.L) – Merger Arbitrage – 21% Upside
Current Price: £2.64
Offer Price: £3.20 (£2.20 will be returned shortly)
Upside: 21% (or +125% for the stub)
Expected Closing Date: Q2 2022
BRP Inc. (DOO.TO) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – C$800 Upside
Current Price: C$102.36
Offer Price: C$103 – C$120
Upside: C$800 (if priced in the middle of the range)
Expiration date: 6th of May 2022
Turquoise Hill Resources (TRQ) – Expected Better Offer – Upside TBD
Current Price: $30.00
Offer Price: $27.24 (increase expected)
Upside: TBD
Expiration Date: TBD
Paramount Group (PGRE) – Merger Arbitrage – 15% Upside
Current Price: $10.43
Offer Price: $12.00
Upside: 15%
Expiration Date: Q2 2022
PFSweb (PFSW) – Large Capital Return/Company sale – Upside TBD
Current price: $11.64
Target price: TBD
Upside: TBD
Expiration Date: TBD
Link Administration (LNK.AX) – Merger Arbitrage – 10%+ Upside
Current Price: A$4.91 (updated, see comment below)
Offer Price: A$5.40+ (updated, see comment below)
Upside: 10%+
Expected Closing: TBD
Liberty TripAdvisor Holdings (LTRPA) – Capital Structure Arbitrage – Upside 10%-20%+
Current Premium: 20% (LTRPA at $2.01 and TRIP at $24.2)
Target Premium: -15%
Upside: 20%+ (depending on hedging ratio used)
Expiration Date: TBD
Cornerstone Building Brands (CNR) – Merger Arbitrage – 13% Upside
Current Price: $21.84
Offer Price: $24.65
Upside: 13%
Expected Closing Date: TBD
Ambac Financial Group (AMBC) – Litigation – Potential for 100%+
Current Price: $13.8
Target Price: TBD
Upside: Potential for 100%+
Expiration Date: Fall 2022
Codorus Valley Bancorp (CVLY) – Activist Pressure/Potential Company Sale – 18%+ Upside
Current Price: $22.00
Target Price: $26.05+
Upside: 18%+
Expiration Date: May 2022
LXP Industrial Trust (LXP) – Merger Arbitrage/Increased Offer – Upside 6%+
Current Price: $15.16
Offer Price: $16.00 (potentially increased)
Upside: 6%+
Expiration Date: TBD
Minds + Machines (MMX.L) – Liquidation – 20%+ Upside
Current Price: £0.086/share
Liquidation Value: £0.104+/share
Upside: 20%+
Expiration Date: 21st of Feb
Bluerock Residential Growth REIT (BRG) – Merger + Spin-Off – 12% Upside
Current Price: $26.63
Acquisition Price: $24.25 + $5.60 est. SpinCo NAV
Upside: 12%
Estimated Completion: Q2 2022
Canaccord Genuity Group (CF.TO) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – C$80 Upside
Current price: C$14.68
Offer price: C$15.50 – C$16.50
Upside: C$80 (for odd lots at the lower limit)
Expiration: 27th of January 2022
Amarillo Gold (AGC.V) – Merger Arbitrage and Spin-Off – 15% Upside
Current Price: C$0.41
Offer Price: C$0.4 + 1 spin-co at C$0.072/share
Upside: up to 15%
Expected Close: March 2022
Home Capital Group (HCG.TO) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – C$200 Upside
Current Price: C$41.46
Offer Price: C$43.50 – C$48.50
Upside: C$200 – C$700 (upper and lower limit for odd lots)
Expiration Date: 21st December 2021
Yorkey Optical International (2788.HK) – Expected Better Offer – Upside TBD
Current Price: HK$0.82
Offer Price: HK$0.88 (expected to be increased)
Upside: TBD
Expected Close: TBD
Adva Optical Networking (ADV.F) – Merger Arbitrage – 22% Upside
Current Price: €13.00
Offer Price: €15.87
Upside: 22%
Expected Closing: Q2-Q3 2022
Playtech (PTEC.L) – Bidding War – Upside TBD
Current Price: £7.71
Offer Price: £6.80 (likely to get improved)
Upside: TBD
Expiration Date: Q4 2021
Laaco (LAACZ) – Merger Arbitrage – 8% Upside
Current Price: $9133
Offer Price: $9840
Upside: 8%
Expected Closing: December 2021
Soliton (SOLY) – Merger Arbitrage – 10% Upside
Current Price: $20.52
Offer Price: $22.60
Upside: 10%
Expected Closing Q4 2021
Arden Partners (ARDN.L) – Merger Arbitrage – 17% Upside
Current Price: £0.235
Offer Price: £0.27
Upside: 17%
Expected Closing: Q1 2022
China Zenix Auto (ZXAIY) – Going Private – 20% Upside
Current Price: $0.9
Target Price: $1.08
Upside: 20%
Expiration Date: Q1 2022
Home Bancorp Wisconsin (HWIS) – Merger Arbitrage – 13% Upside
Current Price: $24.25
Offer Price: $26.47-$27.32
Upside: 9%-13%
Expected Closing: Q2 2022
Apollo Consolidated (AOP.AX) – Potential Bidding War – Upside TBD
Current Price: A$0.59
Offer Price: A$0.56 (potentially to be increased)
Upside: TBD
Expiration: Q4 2021
SOL Global Investments (SOL.CN) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – C$65 Upside
Current Price: C$3.40
Offer Price: C$4.05 – C$4.25
Upside: C$65 (for odd lot accounts with no withholding taxes)
Expiration Date: 26th of November
iClick Interactive Asia Group (ICLK) – Merger Arbitrage – 8%+ Upside
Current Price: $6.95
Offer Price: $7.50
Upside: 8%+
Expected Closing: TBD
InvenTrust Properties (IVT) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – $340 Upside
Current Price: $24.60
Offer Price: $25.00 – $28.00
Upside: $340 (for odd-lots)
Expiration Date: 8th of November
Amerigo Resources (ARREF) – Dividend Reinstatement – 75%+ Upside
Current Price: $1.02
Target Price: $1.75+
Upside: 75%
Expiration Date: Q4 2021
Ferro Corporation (FOE) – Merger Arbitrage – 8% Upside
Current Price: $20.35
Offer Price $22
Upside: 8%
Expected Close: Q1 2022
Tronox (TROX) – Merger Arbitrage – 16%+ Upside
Current Price: $23.24
Offer Price: $27.00
Upside: 16%+
Expiration Date: TBD
Aquila Resources (AQARF) – Merger Arbitrage – 7% Upside
Current Price: $0.0629
Offer Price: $0.0674
Upside: 7%
Expected Closing: Q4 2021
Rifco (RFC.V) – Going Private – 5% Upside
Current Price: C$1.10
Offer Price: C$1.15
Upside: 5%
Expiration Date: TBD
Abitibi Royalties (RZZ.V) – Merger Arbitrage – 17% Upside
Current Price: C$25.65
Offer Price: C$29.88
Upside: 17%
Expected Closing: Q4 2021
The ExOne Company (XONE) – Merger Arbitrage – 9% Upside
Current Price: $23.48
Offer Price: $25.5
Upside: 9%
Expected Close: Q4 2021
Isabella Bank (ISBA) – Tender Offer And Potential M&A Target – Upside TBD
Current Price: $25.75
Offer Price: $23.00 – $27.00
Upside: $123 (for odd lots at upper limit)
Expiration Date: 13th of October 2021
Iress (IRE.AX) – Merger Arbitrage – 13% Upside
Current Price: A$13.99
Target Price: A$15.75
Upside: 13%
Expiration date: Sep 2021
Safeguard Scientific (SFE) – Tender Offer and Liquidation – 35% Upside
Current Price: $8.54
Offer Price: $7.90 – $9.00 and $11+ in liquidation case
Upside: $45 in tender for odd-lots or 35%+ in liquidation case
Expiration Date: October 1st, 2021
Royal Financial (RYFL) – Merger Arbitrage With Odd Lot – 7% Upside
Current Price: $18.62
Offer Price: $19.84
Upside: 7%
Expected Closing Date: Q1 2022
JOYY (YY) – Expected Privatization Offer – 45% Upside
Current Price: $59.6
Target Price: $85
Upside: 45%
Expiration Date: TBD
Marlin Business Services (MRLN) – Merger Arbitrage – 6% Upside
Current Price: $22.11
Offer Price: $23.5
Upside: 6%
Expected Close: Q1 2022
Millennial Lithium (ML.V) – Merger Arbitrage – 8% Upside
Current Price: C$3.32
Offer Price: C$3.6
Upside: 8%
Expiration Date: Q4 2021
IGE+XAO (IGE.PA) – Expected Better Offer – Upside TBD
Current Price: €262
Target Price: TBD
Upside: TBD
Expiration date: Q4 2021
FNBH Bancorp (FNHM) – Merger Arbitrage – 5% Upside
Current Price: $4.02
Offer Price: $4.2
Upside: 5%
Expected Closing: Q4 2021
Golden Predator Mining (GPY.V) – Merger Arbitrage – 22%
Current Price: C$0.135
Offer Price: C$0.165
Upside: 22%
Expected Closing: September 2021
New Carolin Gold (LAD.V) – Merger Arbitrage – 20% Upside
Current Price: C$0.08
Offer Price: C$0.096
Upside: 20%
Expected Closing: September 2021
iCar Asia Limited (ICQ.AX) – Merger Arbitrage – 22% Upside
Current Price: A$0.45
Offer Price: A$0.55
Upside: 22%
Expected Closing: TBD
Genesis Emerging Markets Fund (GSS.L) – Upcoming Tender Offer – 7% Upside
Current Price: £9.03
Offer Price: £9.62
Upside: 7%
Expiration Date: TBD
Vectura (VEC.L) – Bidding War – Upside TBD
Current Price: £1.514
Offer Price: £1.50 (expected to be increased)
Upside: TBD
Expiration Date: TBD
SOHO China (0410.HK) – Merger Arbitrage – 22% Upside
Current Price: HK$4.10
Offer Price: HK$5.00
Upside: 22%
Expected Closing: end 2021
Africa Opportunity Fund (AOF.L) – Liquidation – 70% Upside
Current Price: $0.60
Liquidation Value: $1.019
Upside: 70%
Expiration Date: mid-2022
Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI) – Merger Arbitrage – 9% Upside
Current Price: $15.72
Offer Price: $17.10
Upside: 9%
Expected Closing: TBD
Cambria Automobiles (CAMB.L) – Expected Better Offer – Upside TBD
Current Price: £0.75
Offer Price: £0.80 (higher offer is expected)
Upside: 7%
Expected Closing: Q3 2021
West Fraser Timber (WFG.TO) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – C$1340 Upside
Current Price: C$84.43
Offer Price: C$85 – C$98
Upside: C$1340 (if priced at the upper limit)
Expiration Date: 17th of August 2021
Flagstar Bancorp (FBC) – Merger Arbitrage – 5%+ Upside
Current Price: $41.82
Offer Price: $44.05
Upside: 5%+
Expected Closing Date: Aug’21
Eagle Bancorp Montana (EBMT) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – $246 Upside
Current Price: $23.76
Offer Price: $24-$26.25
Upside: $246 (if priced at the upper limit)
Expiration Date: 22nd of June 2021
Fairfax India Holdings (FIH-U.TO) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – $189 Upside
Current Price: $13.09
Offer Price: $12.50-$15
Upside: $189 (if priced at the upper limit)
Expiration date: 6th of August, 2021
Community Savings Bancorp (CCSB) – Merger Arbitrage – 14% Upside
Current Price: $20.00
Offer Price: $22.76
Upside 14%
Expected Closing Date: Q4 2021
Roxgold (ROXG.TO) – Merger Arbitrage – 6% Upside
Current Price: C$2.14
Offer Price: C$2.26
Upside: 6%
Expected Closing: early July 2021
Banco Santander Mexico (BSMX) – Expected Higher Offer – Upside TBD
Current Price: $6.19
Offer Price: $6.21
Upside: TBD
Expected Closing: Q3 2021
Tarena International (TEDU) – Merger Arbitrage – 9% Upside
Current Price: $3.68
Offer Price: $4.00
Upside: 9%
Expected Closing: TBD
Carnival Corporation & Plc (CUK) – Share Class Arbitrage – 15% Upside
Current Price: $26.01
Target Price: $30.15
Upside: 15%
Expiration Date: TBD
Global Yachting Group (GYG.L) – Merger Arbitrage – 13% Upside
Current Price: £0.82
Offer Price: £0.925
Upside: 13%
Expected Closing: July, 2021
Bacanora (BCN.L) – Merger Arbitrage – 22% Upside
Current Price: £0.552
Offer Price: £0.675 (updated to c. £0.725)
Upside: 22%
Expiration Date: TBD
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – $300 Upside
Current Price: $60
Offer Price: $56 – $63
Upside: $300 (if priced at the upper limit)
Expiration date: 14th of June, 2021
Wright Investors’ Service Holdings (IWSH) – Net-Net – 43% Upside
Current Price: $0.21
Target Price: $0.30
Upside: 43%
Expiration Date: TBD
Volkswagen (VWAPY) – Premium Mean Reversion – 18% Upside
Current Premium: 23%
Average Premium: 5%
Upside: 18%
Expiration Date: TBD
Corning Natural Gas Holding (CNIG) – Merger Arbitrage – 5% Upside
Current Price: $23.52
Offer price: $24.75
Upside: 5%
Expected closing: late 2021/early 2022.
Alcanna (CLIQ.TO) – Odd-Lot Tender Offer – C$56 Upside
Current Price: C$7.73
Offer Price: C$7.55 – C$8.30
Upside: C$56 (for odd-lots at the upper limit)
Expiration date: 12th May
Bingo Industries (BIN.AX) – Merger Arbitrage – 8% Upside
Current Price: A$3.24
Offer Price: A$3.50
Upside: 8%
Expected Closing: TBD
China XD Plastics (CXDC) – Going Private – 13% Upside
Current Price: $1.06
Offer Price: $1.20
Upside: 13%
Expiration Date: 10th of May 2021
Steel Connect (STCN) – Going Private – Upside TBD
Current Price: $1.90
Target Price: TBD
Upside: TBD
Expiration date: TBD
Viva Gold (VAU.V) – Merger Arbitrage – 38% Upside
Current Price: C$0.285
Offer Price: C$0.392
Upside: 38%
Expected Closing: early May 2021
China Customer Relations Center (CCRC) – Going Private – 6% Upside
Current Price:$6.15
Offer Price: $6.50
Upside: 6%
Expected Closing: TBD
Enel America’s (ENIA) – Tender Offer – 4%+ Upside
Current Price: $8.40
Offer Price: $9.75
Upside: 4%+
Expiration date: 13th of April
Sunnyside Bancorp (SNNY) – Merger Arbitrage – 7% Upside (Updated)
Current Price: $14.60
Offer Price: $15.55 (updated to $20)
Upside: 7% (updated to 10%)
Expected Closing: Q4 2021
Discovery (DISCA) – Forced Sell-Off – 20% Upside
Current Price: $42.30
Target Price: $51
Upside: 20%
Expiration date: TBD
UrbanGold Minerals (UGM.V) – Merger Arbitrage – 15% Upside
Current Price: C$0.28
Offer Price C$0.32
Upside: 15%
Expected Closing: end of May’21
Newater Technology (NEWA) – Going Private – 16% Upside
Current Price: $3.16
Offer Price: $3.65
Upside: 16%
Expected Closing: TBD
CCUR Holdings (CCUR) – Reverse Stock Split – $270 Upside
Current Price: $2.77
Offer Price: $2.86
Upside: $270 (for 2999 shares)
Expiration Date: TBD
Idox (IDOX.L) – Merger Arbitrage – 3%+ Upside
Current Price: £0.73
Offer Price: £0.753+
Upside: 3%+
Expiration date: TBD
Landmark Bancorp (LDKB) – Merger Arbitrage – 7% Upside
Current Price: $19.70
Offer Price: $21.03
Upside 7%
Expected Closing: Q3 2020
CRA International (CRAI) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – $600 Upside
Current Price: $70
Offer Price: $66.25 – $76.00
Upside: $600 (odd-lot)
Expiration Date: 5th of April 2021
Mama Mancini (MMMB) – Uplisting – Upside 50%
Current Price: $2.07
Offer Price: TBD
Upside: TBD
Expiration date: TBD
Zenabis (ZENA.TO) – Merger Arbitrage – 25% Upside
Current Price: C$0.125
Offer Price: C$0.157
Upside: 25%
Expiration Date: TBD
Arrow Global (ARW.L) – Merger Arbitrage – 14% Upside
Current Price: £2.68
Offer Price: £3.05
Upside: 14%
Expected Closing Date: TBD (potentially 8th of March)
Equiniti (EQN.L) – Rumored Takeover – 22% Upside
Current Price: £1.39
Offer Price: £1.70
Upside: 22%
Expected Closing Date: TBD
Plateau Energy Metals (PLU.V) – Merger Arbitrage – 27%+ Upside
Current Price: C$0.74
Offer Price: C$0.94+
Upside: 27%+
Expected Closing: April/May 2021
Great Canadian Gaming (GC.TO) – Merger Arbitrage – 6% Upside
Current Price: C$37.24
Offer Price: C$41.00+ (updated C$45.00)
Upside: 10%
Expiration Date: TBD
Redflex Holdings (RDF.AX) – Merger Arbitrage – 6% Upside
Current Price: A$0.87
Offer Price: A$0.92
Upside: 6%
Expected Closing: May 2021
QMX Gold (QMX.V) – Merger Arbitrage – 9% Upside
Current Price: C$0.30
Offer Price: C$0.33
Upside: 9%
Expected Closing: late March/early April 2021
Hunters Property (HUNT.L) – Merger Arbitrage – 16% Upside
Current Price: £0.67
Offer Price: £0.78
Upside: 16%
Expected Closing: March 2021
Sogou (SOGO) – Going Private Transaction – 9% Upside
Current Price: $8.26
Offer Price: $9.00
Upside: 9%
Expected Closing: mid-2021
Zagg (ZAGG) – Merger Arbitrage & CVR – 7% Upside
Current Price: $4.17
Offer Price: $4.20 + $0.25 in CVR
Upside: 7%
Expected Closing: Q1 2021
Enzo Biochem (ENZ) – Activism and Potential Sale – 84% Upside (Uncertain)
Current Price: $2.99
Target Price: $5.51 (uncertain)
Upside: 84%
Expiration Date: TBD
Ossen Innovation (OSN) – Going Private – 12% Upside
Current Price: $4.57
Offer Price: $5.10
Upside: 12%
Expected Closing: H1 2021
Orca Exploration (ORC-B.V) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – C$40 Upside
Current Price: C$6.10
Offer Price: C$6.50-C$7.50
Upside: C$40 (tendering 99 shares at the lower limit)
Expiration Date: 20th of January
Prevail Therapeutics (PRVL) – Merger Arbitrage & CVR – 15% Upside
Current Price: $23.08
Offer Price: $22.50 + $4.00 in CVR
Upside: 15% (589% on CVR investment)
Expected Closing: Q1 2021
Dundee Corporation (DC-A.TO) – Odd Lot Dutch Tender Offer – 14% Upside
Current Price: C$1.40
Offer Price: C$1.40 – C$1.60
Upside: 14% (if priced at the upper limit)
Expiration Date: 11th of January 2021
Altice USA (ATUS) – Odd Lot Dutch Tender Offer – $174 Upside
Current Price: $34.24
Offer Price: $32.25 – $36.00
Upside: $174 (for 99 shares)
Expiration date: 21st December 2020
51job (JOBS) – Merger Arbitrage – 10% Upside
Current Price: $71.72
Offer Price: $79.05
Upside: 10%
Expected Closing Date: TBD
MVB Financial (MVBF) – Modified Dutch Tender Offer – TBD Upside
Current Price: $20.34
Offer Price: $18.00 – $20.25
Upside: TBD
Expiration Date: 18th of December
3P Learning (3PL.AX) – Merger Arbitrage – 9% Upside
Current Price: A$1.38
Offer Price: A$1.50
Upside: 9%
Expected Closing Date: TBD
CIMC-TianDa Holdings (0445.HK) – Going Private – 8% Upside
Current Price: HK$0.246
Offer Price: HK$0.266
Upside: 8%
Expected Closing: December 2020
Powerleader Science & Technology Group (8236.HK) – Going Private – 13% Upside
Current Price: HK$3.47
Offer Price: HK$3.92
Upside: 13%
Expected Closing: TBD
Consol Coal Resources (CCR) – Merger Arbitrage – 4% Upside
Current Price: $3.16
Offer Price: $3.28
Upside: 4%
Expected Closing: Q1 2021
Edgewater Bancorp (EGDW) – Merger Arbitrage – 15% Upside
Current Price: $37.55
Offer Price: $39.47-$43.22
Upside: 5%-15%
Expected Closing: Q2 2021
Driven Deliveries (DRVD) – Merger Arbitrage – 11% Upside
Current Price: $0.35
Offer Price: $0.39
Upside: 11%
Expected Closing: Late 2020
Reliv International (RELV) – Reverse Split – $300 Upside
Current Price: $3.60
Offer Price: $3.75
Upside: $300 (for 1999 shares)
Expiration Date: 29th of November
Atlas Technical Consultants (ATCXW) – Warrant Exchange – 25% Upside
Current Price: $0.99
Offer Price: $1.25
Upside: 25%
Expiration Date: 16th of November 2020
Wanda Sports Group (WSG) – Going Private – 11% Upside
Current Price: $2.25
Offer Price: $2.50
Upside: 11%
Expected Closing: TBD
Water Now (WTNW) – Liquidation – 40% Upside (very risky)
Current Price: $0.089
Liquidation Value: $0.125
Upside: 40%
Expiration date: early 2021
GMP Capital (GMP.TO) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – C$47 Upside
Current Price: C$1.94
Offer Price: C$2.42
Upside: C$47
Expiration Date: 18th of November
Gridsum Holdings (GSUM) – Going Private – 10% Upside
Current Price: $1.82
Offer Price: $2.00
Upside: 10%
Expected Closing: Q1 2021
Torotel (TTLO) – Merger Arbitrage – 5.4% Upside
Current Price: $5.85
Offer Price: $6.17
Upside: 5.4% (high IRR)
Expected Closing: Q4 2020
Guide to Merger Arbitrage
Merger arbitrage has become a popular investment strategy used both by professional capital allocators and retail investors alike.
Acorn International (ATV) – Going Private – 11% Upside
Current Price: $13.70
Offer Price: $15.22
Upside: 11%
Expected Closing: TBD
Riviera Resources (RVRA) – Liquidation – 27% Upside
Current Price: $1.73
Liquidation Value: $2.20
Upside: 27%
Expiration Date: TBD
Cellular Biomedicine Group (CBMG) – Going Private – 7% Upside
Current Price: $18.49
Offer Price: $19.75
Upside: 7%
Expected Closing: Q4 2020
Nomad Foods (NOMD) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – $100 Upside
Current Price: $24.45
Offer Price: $23.00-$25.50
Upside: $100 (for odd-lots)
Expiration Date: 9th of September
Marchex (MCHX) – Tender Offer – 6% Upside
Current Price: $1.72
Offer Price: $1.96
Upside: 14%
Expiration Date: expected early October 2020
Renaissance Gold (REN.V) – Merger Arbitrage – 22% Upside
Current Price: C$0.60
Offer Price: C$0.73
Upside: 22%
Expected Closing: Q3 2020
Bioceres Crop Solutions (BIOX) – Warrant Exchange – 21% Upside
Current Price: $0.50
Offer Price: $0.605
Upside: 21%
Expiration Date: 24th of August 2020
Dundee Corporation (DC-PB.TO) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – C$139 Upside
Current Price: C$17.31
Offer Price: C$16.00-C$18.50
Upside: C$139 (if priced at the upper limit)
Expiration Date: 27th of August 2020
Fuchs Petrolub (FPE.DE) – Discount Mean Reversion – 11% Upside
Current Discount: 20%
Average Discount: 9%
Upside: 11%
Expiration Date: TBD
Grifols (GRFS) – Discount Mean Reversion – 8% Upside
Current Discount: 36%
Average Discount: 28%
Upside: 8%
Expiration Date: TBD
BMW Group (BMW.DE) – Discount Mean Reversion – 7% Upside
Current Discount: 23%
Average Discount: 16%
Upside: 7%
Expiration Date: TBD
InnerWorkings (INWK) – Merger Arbitrage – 8% Upside
Current Price: $2.78
Offer Price: $3.00
Upside: 8%
Expected Closing: Q4 2020
Alt Resources (ARS.ASX) – Merger Arbitrage – 5% Upside With Considerable IRR
Current Price: A$0.048
Offer Price: A$0.0505
Upside: 5%
Expected Closing: August 2020
Analysis of US-Listed Chinese Going-Private Transactions
US-listed Chinese companies
Central European Media Enterprises (CETV) – Merger Arbitrage – 18% Upside
Current Price: $3.88
Offer Price: $4.58
Upside: 18%
Expected Closing: Q3 2020
Brookfield Property Partners (BPY) – Tender Offer – 9% Upside
Current Price: $10.97
Offer Price: $12.00
Upside: 9%
Expiration Date: 28th of August
Brookfield Property REIT (BPYU) – Tender Offer – $100 Upside
Current Price: $10.96
Offer Price: $12.00
Upside: $102 (for odd-lot accounts)
Expiration Date: 12th of August
Delmarva Bancshares (DLMV) – Merger Arbitrage – 8.5% Upside
Current Price: $8.21
Offer Price: $8.90
Upside: 8.5%
Expected Closing: Q4 2020
Onevue Holdings (OVH.ASX) – Merger Arbitrage – 6% Upside
Current Price: A$0.375
Offer Price: A$0.40
Upside: 6%
Expected Close: Late September 2020
Guyana Goldfields (GUY.TO) – Merger Arbitrage – 7% Upside With Considerable IRR
Current Price: C$1.73
Offer Price: C$1.85
Upside: 7%
Expected Close: August 2020
Hertz (HTZ) – Pending Delisting – Upside 50% (very risky)
Current Price: $1.50
Target Price: $0.75 (ultimatelly a $0.00)
Upside: 50%
Expected date: Q3 2020
Analysis of Split-off Trading Strategies
Split-Offs proved to be very lucrative
TMAC Resources (TMR.TO) – Merger Arbitrage – 14% Upside
Current Price: C$1.54
Offer Price: C$1.75
Upside: 14%
Expected Closing: Q3 2020
Quintana Energy Services (QES) – Merger Arbitrage – 14% Upside
Current Price: $1.11
Offer Price: $1.27
Upside: 14%
Expected Closing: H2’20
Gilat Satellite Networks (GILT) – Merger Arbitrage – 22% Upside
Current Price: $7.20
Offer Price: $8.75
Upside: 22%
Expected Closing: H2 2020
Tiffany (TIF) – Merger Arbitrage – 16% Upside
Current Price: $116
Offer Price: $135
Upside: 18%
Expected Closing: Late 2020 / Early 2021
58.com (WUBA) – Merger Arbitrage – 15% Upside
Current Price: $48
Offer Price: $55
Upside: 15%
Expected Closing: TBD
Forescout Technologies (FSCT) – Merger Arbitrage – 35% Upside
Current Price: $24.50
Offer Price: $33.00 (likely to be amended/terminated)
Upside: 35%
Expected Closing: TBD
Arctic Glacier Income Fund (AGUNF) – Liquidation – 6% Upside
Current price: $0.0173 (mid)
Distribution: $0.0184
Upside: 6%
Estimated distribution date: 17th of June, 2020
Moss Bross (MOSB.L) – Merger Arbitrage – 10% Upside
Current Price: £0.20
Offer Price: £0.22
Upside: 10%
Expected Closing: Q2 2020
TearLab (TEAR) – Merger Arbitrage – 15% Upside
Current Price: $0.0511
Offer Price: $0.0586
Upside: 15%
Expected Closing: beginning of June, 2020
IndigoVision (IND.L) – Merger Arbitrage – 5% Upside With Considerable IRR
Current Price: £3.85
Offer Price: £4.05
Upside: 5%
Expected Closing: 15th of June
Delphi Technologies (DLPH) – Merger Arbitrage – 7% Upside
Current Price: $11.92
Offer Price: $12.72
Upside: 7%
Expected Closing: H2 2020
VSB Bancorp (VSBN) – Merger Arbitrage – 15% Upside
Current Price: $18.48
Offer Price: $21.18
Upside: 15%
Estimated Closing Date: Early Q3
Northview Apartment REIT (NVU-UN.TO) – Merger Arbitrage – 10% Upside
Current Price: C$32.97
Offer Price: C$36.25
Upside: 10%
Expected Closing: by Q3 2020
Melrose Bank (MELR) – Merger Arbitrage – 10% Upside
Current Price: $22.70
Offer Price: $25.00
Upside: 10%
Expected Closing: Q2
Empire Bancorp (EMPK) – Merger Arbitrage – 15% Upside
Current Price: $9.50
Current Offer: $10.97
Upside: 15%
Expected Closing Date: Q2 / Early Q3
Strad (SDY.TO) – Going Private – 20% Upside
Current Price: C$1.99
Offer Price: C$2.39
Upside: 20%
Expected Closing Date: Late April’20
Tallgrass Energy (TGE) – Merger Arbitrage – 42% Upside
Current Price: $15.82
Offer Price: $22.45/share
Upside: 42%
Expected Closing: Q2 2020
Pihlajalinna (PIHLIS) – Merger and Arbitrage – 27% Upside
Current price: €12.62
Offer price: €16.00 in cash
Upside: 27%
Expected closing: Q3 ’20
Correvio Pharma (CORV) – Merger Arbitrage – 30% Upside
Current Price: $0.32
Offer Price: $0.42
Upside: 30%
Expected Closing Date: Q2 2020
Craft Brew Alliance (BREW) – Merger Arbitrage – 50% Upside
Current Price: $11.11
Offer Price: $16.50
Upside: 50%
Expected Closing Date: 2020
Kemet (KEM) – Merger Arbitrage – 30% Upside
Current Price: $21.14
Offer Price: $27.20
Upside: 30%
Expected Closing Date: H2 2020
Tegna (TGNA) – Merger Arbitrage – 45% Upside
Current Price: $13.73
Offer Price: $20
Upside: 45%
Expected Closing Date: TBD
Bitauto (BITA) – Merger Arbitrage – 50% Upside
Current price: $10.45
Consideration price: $16.00
Upside: 50%
Expiration date: TBD
Great Canadian Gaming (GC.TO) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – C$360 Upside
Current Price: C$30.24
Offer Price: C$39 – C$46
Upside: C$360-C$950 (odd lots)
Expiration Date: 25th of March 2020
Carroll Bancorp (CROL) – Merger Arbitrage – 13% Upside
Current Price: $19.1
Offer Price: $21.63
Upside: 13%
Expected Closing Date: Q3 2020
Sakura SOGO REIT (3473 JP) – Merger Arbitrage – 5% Upside
Current Price: ¥81000
Offer Price: ¥85000
Upside: 5%
Expected Closing Date: August 2020
Jumei International (JMEI) – Going Private – 5% Upside
Current Price: $19
Offer Price: $20
Upside: 5%
Expected Closing: Q2 2020
Torotel (TTLO) – Merger Arbitrage – 4.5% Upside
Current Price: $7.43
Offer Price: $7.77
Upside: 4.5%
Expected Closing: March 31st, 2020
RIB Software (RIB.DE) – Merger Arbitrage – 9% Upside
Current Price: €26.66
Offer Price: €29.00
Upside: 9%
Expected Closing Date: Q2 2020
Cineplex (CGX.TO) – Merger Arbitrage – 7% Upside
Current Price: C$31.70
Offer Price: C$34.00
Upside: 7%
Expected Closing: Q2 2020
Condor Hospitality Trust (CDOR) – Merger Arbitrage – 6% Upside
Current Price: $10.46
Offer Price: $11.10
Upside: 6%
Expected closing date: 16th of March
Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG.ASX) – Merger Arbitrage – 48% Upside
Current Price: A$0.135
Offer price: A$0.20
Upside: 48%
Expiration date: TBD
MGM Resorts International (MGM) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – $230 Upside
Current Price: $26.71
Offer Price: $29 – $34
Upside: 8.5% – 27%
Expiration Date: 12th of March 2020
Qumu (QUMU) – Merger Arbitrage – 7% Upside
Current Price: $1.80
Offer Price: $1.93
Upside: 7%
Closing date: mid 2020
Sirius Minerals (SXX.L) – Merger Arbitrage – 6% Upside
Current Price: 5.2p
Offer Price: 5.5p
Upside: 6%
Closing Date: March 2020
Evans & Sutherland Computer Corporation (ESCC) – Merger Arbitrage – 4% Upside
Current Price: $1.14
Offer Price: $1.19
Upside: 4%
Expected Closing: Q1 2020
Dream Hard Asset Alternatives Trust (DRA-UN.TO) – Odd Lot Tender Offer – 4% Upside
Current Price: C$7.91
Tender Price: C$8.25
Upside: 4% (C$33 for odd-lots)
Expiration Date: 12 March 2020
Orca Exploration (ORC-B.V) – Expected Tender Offer – 5% Upside
Current price: C$6.46
Offer price: TBD
Upside: TBD
Expiration Date: by the 7th of Feb’20
Posera (PAY.TO) – Merger Arbitrage – 7% Upside
Current price: C$0.115 – C$0.12
Consideration price: C$0.123+
Upside: 2.5% – 7%+
Estimated closing date: Jan-Feb 2020
Achilion Pharmaceuticals (ACHN) – Merger Arbitrage – 35% Upside With CVR
Current price: $6.13
Consideration: $6.30 in cash + $2 in CVR
Upside: 35% (with CVR)
Expected Closing Date: April’20
Neon Therapeutics (NTGN) – Merger Arbitrage – 31% Upside
Current Price: $1.76
Merger Consideration: $2.30
Upside: 31%
Closing: Q2 2020
Maplewood International REIT (MWI-UN.V) – Asset Sale – 32% Upside
Current price: C$0.63
Distribution: C$0.83
Upside: 32%
Expected date: TBD
XBiotech (XBIT) – Tender Offer – $469 Upside
Current Price: $24.33
Offer: $26.52-$29.07
Upside: $217-$469 for odd-lots
Expiration date: 12th of February
Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY-RT) – CVR – 159% Upside
Current Price: $3.48
Expected Payout: $9.00
Upside: 159%
Expiration Date: end of ’21
Introducing Quick Ideas
Today I am introducing a new section on SSI: Quick Ideas.
Fitbit (FIT) – Merger Arbitrage – 12% Upside
Current Price: $6.56
Offer Price: $7.35
Upside: 12%
Expected Closing: 2020
West End Indiana Bank (WEIN) – Merger Arbitrage – 3% Upside
Current Price: $34.80
Merger Consideration: $34.91 – $36.81
Spread: 0%-6%
Expiration Date: expected Q1 ’20
Ben Franklin Bank (BFFI) – Merger Arbitrage – 6% Upside
Current Price: $9.92
Merger Consideration: $10.33 – $10.70
Upside: 4% – 8%
Expiration Date: early 2020
Yatra (YTRA) – Merger Arbitrage – 71% Upside
Current Price: $3.10
Merger Consideration: $5.31
Upside: 71%
Estimated closing: Q2 2020
Intrinsyc Technologies (ITC) – Merger Arbitrage – 4% Upside
Current Price: C$1.74
Merger Consideration: C$1.81
Upside: 4%
Estimated Closing: January 2020
AVIC International Holdings (HK:0161) – Merger Arbitrage – 10% Upside
Current Price: HK$8.21
Merger Consideration: HK$9.00
Upside: 10%
Expiration Date: 6th of March
Redde (REDD.L) – Merger Arbitrage – 5% Upside
Current Price: £1.07
Merger Consideration: £1.13
Upside: 5%
Expiration Date: Q1 ’20
Aimia (AIM.TO) – Tender Offer – C$40 for Odd Lots
Current price: C$3.87
Tender Price: C$4.25
Upside: 10%
Expiration Date: 30th Dec 2019