$ALLY pitch:
– Online-only bank/insurer of the auto industry, funding operations with low-cost sticky deposits.
– Trades at 1.1xTBV and single-digit earnings despite management guiding to 16-18% ROTCE.
– Mgmt guidance already takes into account material reduction in used vehicle values.
– 33% of shares repurchased since 2016, with 11% of the current mcap repurchased YTD.
– $BRK owns 10% of the company and Norbert Lou has ALLY as a core position.
$ALLY valuation:
– Trades at single-digit earnings and 1x TBV with mid-teens ROTCE.
– Even with FED’s severally adverse risk scenario and assuming $1.4bn of losses, ALLY would still sit at 1.2x TBV.
Exp. gain: Not specified.
Full ALLY write-up (free guest account required):
https://www.valueinvestorsclub.com/idea/ALLY_FINANCIAL_INC/1086556458