MTB pitch:
– The bank is oversold on fears caused by the collapse of SVB and other banks.
– However, MTB is run by a conservative mgmt team in markets with stickier deposit bases.
– That does not make them immune to dumb ideas, but it greatly reduces the risk to shareholders.
– MTB has consistently earned mid-teens ROTE.
– Pays out a healthy dividend, and uses excess capital to buyback stock.
– Last year’s merger with People’s United provides significant scale benefits, which should become evident shortly.
MTB valuation:
– In 2022, MTB earned $14.42 per share
– Expected to earn north of $20/share in 4-5 years, with excess cash used for buybacks.
– At 13x multiple would be a $260 stock.
Exp. gain: 120%
Full write-up (free guest account required):
https://www.valueinvestorsclub.com/idea/M_andamp%3B_T_BANK_CORP/2354420575#description